Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria party looks set to win Sunday's Bulgarian Parliamentary election - the eighth general election in five years. Exit polls put his party at 37%, more than double the score of the closest runner-up, GERB, led by former prime minister Boiko Borisov, at 16%. While three or four other parties are anticipated to cross the 4% threshold to enter Parliament, no party is expected to secure a majority without forming alliances.

The elections were prompted by a previous government's attempt to introduce a controversial budget last December, which led to widespread protests supported by Radev. In his victory speech, Radev expressed gratitude to voters for rejecting the old parties marked by perceived arrogance. He promised to build a 'strong Bulgaria in a strong Europe,' emphasizing the need for critical thinking and pragmatic solutions in Europe.

Though Radev has been labeled a pragmatic leader with some pro-Russian inclinations, including criticism of EU sanctions and opposition to military support to Ukraine, he focused his election campaign on domestic issues like combating corruption and restoring governmental stability.

Radev, who recently stepped down from his role as president to form his political movement, noted his interest in establishing coalition partnerships as his party does not have a sufficient mandate to govern alone.

The electoral context has been influenced by Bulgaria's role as a supplier of ammunition to Ukraine via third countries, amid a revitalization of its arms industry. As Bulgaria seeks to strengthen its defense sector, Radev's government will need to tread carefully on the European stage, balancing national interests with EU relations.