In a remarkable shift within Nigerian politics, key opposition leaders Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi have realigned by joining the African Democratic Congress (ADC), aiming to challenge President Bola Tinubu and his ruling party in the upcoming 2027 election. Their departure from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and the Labour Party (LP) marks one of the most significant transformations since the end of military rule in 1999.
The formation of the ADC comes after extensive discussions between these political heavyweights, who are determined to present a united front rather than risk splitting the opposition vote. In the previous election, Tinubu secured only 37% of the votes, significantly aided by the opposition vote being divided between Abubakar, who garnered 29%, and Obi, who received 25%.
The ADC was unveiled by interim chairman David Mark, emphasizing the coalition's purpose: to uphold Nigeria’s democratic integrity and prevent the nation from devolving into a one-party state. The PDP and LP, meanwhile, face their own internal crises, believed to be influenced by external pressures.
Analyst Shehu Iliyasu noted that both Abubakar and Obi are acknowledging their past mistakes, realizing that a collaboration could have altered the outcome of the last election. The coalition's key figures include the seasoned Abubakar, likely to pursue the presidency once more, with Obi positioned as a potential vice-presidential candidate. Other prominent members include former Senate President David Mark, ex-APC ally Nasir El-Rufai, and former minister Rotimi Amaechi.
As political analysts weigh in, there are mixed predictions for the coalition's chances against Tinubu. Some express optimism, arguing that a united front increases their likelihood of success, while others assert that incumbency offers Tinubu a distinct advantage compared to his previous campaign.
The ruling APC, however, is dismissive of the coalition's potential threat, with acting chairman Ali Bukar Dalori stating it lacks substance and remains confined to theoretical discussions in Abuja hotels. In contrast, both the PDP and LP have firmly rejected any notions of joining the ADC, insisting on contesting the APC independently.
As Nigeria's political scene continues to evolve, the ADC presents a noteworthy development that might reshape the electoral landscape ahead of the 2027 elections.
