In brief
During Xi Jinping’s recent visit to Moscow, a careful approach toward partnership dynamics with Vladimir Putin emerged, reflecting both camaraderie and caution.
In a notable display of camaraderie, Chinese President Xi Jinping positioned himself alongside Russian President Vladimir Putin during Moscow's Victory Day parade, symbolizing their perceived friendship. Hours before the event, Xi referred to the China-Russia relationship as "unbreakable," emphasizing the need for both nations to be "friends of steel." This visit marked Xi's 11th trip to Russia since he took office in 2013, underscoring their frequent interactions, which number over 40 meetings.Despite public pronouncements of unity, experts indicate that the reality of their relationship is more complex. Mathieu Boulegue from the Center for European Policy Analysis pointed out the dual nature of their connection, where they can cooperate outwardly while competing in various spheres behind the scenes. This intricate dynamic is underscored by the geopolitical backdrop involving Xi's necessity to not overcommit to Putin, especially given Russia's controversial stance due to the Ukraine invasion.Xi is cautious about maintaining this relationship without jeopardizing China’s emerging partnerships, particularly with Europe. As China focuses on portraying itself as a reliable global partner amidst tensions with the US, recent communications between Xi and European leaders on the anniversary of their relations indicate Beijing's diplomatic outreach efforts. However, Xi's alignment with Putin raises concerns about alienating potential allies if it appears too strong.Moreover, as Xi aims to convey a viable response to US influence, particularly regarding previous American administrations' engagement with Russia, he emphasized a united front against any efforts to disrupt the China-Russia connection. In articles aimed at the Russian public, he articulated the importance of resisting Western "schemes."Yet, it's recognized that while China is a global superpower, Russia’s standing has been weakened by ongoing conflict and international sanctions, making its reliance on China increasingly pronounced. This shift suggests that China holds significant leverage in strategic discussions, with leading analysts noting that the balance of power has tilted favorably toward Beijing.Ultimately, while Xi and Putin may share a cordial public demeanor, the long-term implications of their partnership and the underlying tensions may evolve, requiring a watchful eye on this diplomatic balancing act.
