Tens of thousands of protesters across Australia convened on August 24 to advocate for Palestinians, condemning the Israeli government's actions in Gaza and urging the Australian government to respond more strongly to the ongoing crisis. These demonstrations followed a massive gathering on August 3, marking a month of deteriorating Australia-Israel relations characterized by cancelled visas, retaliatory rhetoric, and claims of Israeli influence in Australian political affairs.

The protests have amplified calls for action, including sanctions against Israel and the termination of armed trade that supports Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) weaponry. While some experts have noted a significant turn in diplomatic behavior, the extent of this change remains uncertain.

How We Got Here

This week, a prominent association of genocide scholars asserted that Israel is committing genocide in Gaza under international law, highlighting attacks on essential services, including healthcare and education. Despite Israel's vehement denial of these claims, the situation has generated growing public outrage and prompted a shift in tone from the Australian government. In a landmark decision, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced that Australia would conditionally recognize a Palestinian state, a move motivated partly by a conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The response has drawn mixed reactions domestically, with Palestinian advocates deeming it insufficient and Israeli representatives expressing disappointment, characterizing it as detrimental to peace efforts. Netanyahu went as far as accusing Albanese of 'pouring fuel on an antisemitic fire' in a series of escalating correspondences.

As relations soured, significant diplomatic actions followed: Australia expelled Iran's ambassador amid accusations of antisemitic interference, while Israel revoked visa access for Australian representatives to the Palestinian Authority. Such developments depict a troubling period, with both nations facing internal pressures as protestors demand meaningful action regarding the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

Why Now?

The heightened tensions are rooted in a moral reckoning, as public sentiment increasingly calls for justice and accountability amidst the prevailing violence. While Australia's historical foreign policy has favored Israel, the latest events indicate a remarkable pivot, although critics allege that substantive changes remain to be seen behind closed doors.

What Has Actually Changed?

Pro-Palestinian activists argue that the Australian government's actions are more symbolic than substantive. Despite expressing goodwill in word, the continuation of arms trade and lack of strong prohibitions against Israel undercut the government's stated intentions. Allegations of complicity manifest through Australia’s supply of non-lethal components for IDF operations, raising pressing questions about the sincerity of diplomatic posturing.

The complexities of the bilateral relationship serve to highlight the intricate balance Australia seeks to maintain while addressing multifaceted pressures both at home and abroad.