In a bold move reflecting a blend of foreign diplomacy and business acumen, the Trump administration is actively pursuing a peace agreement designed to resolve the enduring conflict in the mineral-rich eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), involving neighboring Rwanda as well. This initiative highlights the U.S. interest in tapping into DRC's substantial mineral wealth, which is essential for the burgeoning IT and AI sectors, much of which is currently under the control of China.

President Trump is slated to meet with DRC President Félix Tshisekedi and Rwandan President Paul Kagame in the coming weeks to solidify this peace agreement, which Trump has characterized as a "glorious triumph." His administration aims to intertwine conflict resolution with potential business deals that would stimulate U.S. investment in the region. According to Prof. Alex de Waal of the World Peace Foundation, this approach represents a new paradigm of peace-making that merges populist rhetoric with commercial interests.

However, de Waal cautioned that the U.S. might be lagging behind China, which has already secured significant mineral rights in DRC. While U.S. firms have been reluctant to engage in the DRC due to safety issues and ethical concerns surrounding "blood minerals," the proposed peace model might alleviate some of these hesitations.

Despite these optimistic prospects, experts warn of the risks that come with such diplomatic engagements. Prof. Hanri Mostert from the University of Cape Town expressed concerns that DRC could face sovereignty compromises over its mineral resources in exchange for security assurances, adding that deals could potentially bind the country for decades. The U.S. State Department has estimated that DRC possesses $25 trillion in mineral reserves, further intensifying the competition for these resources.

The M23 rebel group has been accused of leveraging control over significant mineral resources and smuggling operations linked to Rwanda, complicating the proposed peace dynamics. The U.S. has proposed a comprehensive economic framework to deter illicit trade and foster beneficial partnerships between DRC and Rwanda, with Trump emphasizing American access to crucial mineral rights.

In tandem with the U.S. politics, Qatar has entered the mediation arena focusing on internal conflicts between DRC's government and M23, raising questions about the efficiency of dual mediation efforts. Cooperation is essential to avoid discrepancies in peace negotiations that could hinder effective conflict resolution.

Amid these negotiations, a ceasefire is anticipated, followed by further agreements with the M23 group. Nevertheless, the process may be protracted, with challenges surrounding territorial control and the removal of foreign troops being significant obstacles.

The M23 rebel group acknowledges the eventual establishment of state authority but has asserted its unwillingness to relinquish its currently held territories. This situation reflects the complex nature of the peace process, requiring skilled mediation to address long-standing territorial disputes and the underlying factors that have perpetuated the conflict for over three decades.

Ultimately, the enduring success of Trump’s peace initiative hinges not only on immediate agreements but also on whether these agreements transform the landscape of conflict resolution into a sustainable and just solution for the people of DRC.