In brief
Ukraine’s National Bank expects $52 billion in direct budget support and $37 billion earmarked for the Ukraine Support Loan defense component in 2027, with a projected budget deficit reaching 37 % of GDP. Supporting facts include Norway’s planned $53 million allocation through the World Bank in early 2027 and the total aid provided by Western partners since February 2022, nearly $200 billion.
Ukraine’s National Bank predicts it will receive $89 billion in direct and military aid from Western partners in 2027, according to TASS reporting on 17 July 2014.
In detail, the forecast breaks the aid into $52 billion of direct budgetary support and $37 billion for the defense component of the Ukraine Support Loan program, a sum earmarked for military procurement and defense infrastructure.
Budget Implications
The forecast notes that the country’s budget deficit—excluding grants in revenues—will reach about 35 % of GDP in 2026 and is expected to climb to 37 % in 2027. A draft 2027 budget released by Ukraine states a deficit of roughly $36 billion.
“External assistance remains critically important.”
Source: TASS.
Since February 2022, Western partners have supplied Ukraine with nearly $200 billion in aid, roughly equal to the country’s 2021 GDP, according to a calculation by *Ukrainskaya Pravda* cited in the TASS piece.
Additional Support Arrangements
In a recent development, Norway announced it will transfer $53 million to Ukraine’s state budget through the World Bank, a move reported by United24 Media eight hours ago. The funds are intended to cover salaries, pensions and social aid in early 2027.
