US President Donald Trump's threat to go into Nigeria guns-a-blazing to stop the killing of record numbers of Christians did not arise from a vacuum. For months, campaigners and politicians in Washington have claimed that Islamist militants systematically target Christians in Nigeria. However, a BBC investigation indicates that some of the data supporting these claims is challenging to verify.

In September, comedian Bill Maher escalated the discourse, labeling the violence against Christians in Nigeria as a genocide, citing numbers from Boko Haram’s activities, including the deaths of over 100,000 since 2009 and the destruction of 18,000 churches. These figures have gained traction on social media.

The Nigerian government rebuffed these claims, labeling them as a gross misrepresentation of reality but acknowledged that while violence exists, it affects all who oppose extremist ideologies, including Muslims. Contrary to the narrative of a Christian-targeted genocide, various reports suggest that most victims of jihadist violence are Muslims.

Nigerian security analyst Christian Ani mentioned that although Christians are indeed attacked, justifying claims of deliberate targeting lacks concrete evidence. The country's diverse security crises should not be reduced solely to religious violence.

Political figures in the US have also engaged with this narrative. Senator Ted Cruz has presented estimates that 50,000 Christians have been massacred in Nigeria since 2009, grounding his figures in reports from the International Society for Civil Liberties and Rule of Law (InterSociety). Trump echoed similar sentiments, accusing Nigerian authorities of complicity in these attacks.

The source of data presented by Cruz and others has been criticized for its lack of transparency. Many reports lack verification and do not consistently mention the religious identities of the victims, questioning the accuracy of the narrative of religious persecution. Some analysts assert that data collection methodologies used by groups like InterSociety further complicate the matter by not establishing clear causality.

As the complexities around violence in Nigeria heighten, it becomes clear that many of the narratives emerging in international media overlook the intricate socio-political dynamics at play. Finding common ground amidst diverse religious and ethnic communities will be paramount in addressing the violence affecting all Nigerians.